South Korea vs Norway, Monday’s match for the last round of Group A of the Women’s World Cup 2019 at the Stade Auguste-Delaune, in Reims, France.
The possibility of classification of South Korean depends on a combination of results. The Asian team debuted in the tournament and was thrashed by France 4-0. Then, lost to Nigeria by 2 to 0. Thus, in addition to being zeroed in scoring they also have a negative balance of six goals.
To keep the hopes of survival, they have to win from Norway by any score. If Nigeria scores at least one point against France, that would ensure their third place, as the first criterion is the goal difference, allowing South Korea to play third-place play-offs. Even so, the possibility of advancing would be small in case of not significantly improving their goal balance.
Thus, their best chance would be a triple tie in second place, which would happen in case of success against Norway and defeat of Nigeria to France. In that case, only goal balance would be used of the matches between the three national teams.
Before the ball rolls, the South Koreans have a deficit of two, the Norwegians have a positive balance of three and the Nigerians have a deficit of one. This last number will not change. Thus, a victory by margin of two goals would be sufficient to put South Korea in the quarterfinals.
Norway does not depend on any other result to ensure classification. If they win, they will have secured a place in the next stage. However, to be the first placed they will have to rely on the defeat of France against Nigeria, which seems a hypothesis of unlikely realization.
This is the result of their defeat, 2 to 1, to the home team, which happened in a questionable way. The Norwegians had a penalty against them called in a dubious way, with the aid of the video referee.
However, a French victory or even the draw of the home team against the Nigerians may even ease their way. In that case, a draw against the South Koreans would secure second place in the group A standings.
Although some match is necessary to analyze the situation of the group, the wide technical superiority of Norway makes that the prediction in the success of the Europeans against South Korea is the best option of guess for the confrontation of this Monday for the last round of group A of the FIFA Women’s World Cup in France.