Porto vs Krasnodar for the Champions League qualification match on Tuesday at Dragão Stadium.
Porto is keen to secure Krasnodar’s elimination in this Champions League second leg on Tuesday night. The hosts should expect to move forward and use their favourite role for victory.
The hosts have been the cornerstones of this competition over the years, benefiting from their strong position in Portugal and their strong representation in the Champions League.
However, now that the Sagres League has been reduced to two slots – only one of them has an automatic qualification – the Portuguese giants will have to go through some harsh summer clashes. The preparation for the Portugal team is dominated by money from Europe, and the importance of Champions is enormous, as Porto have a huge revenue gap if they fail in these qualifiers.
Krasnodar is not so desperate for their slice of the Champions League cake. They are in this competition for the first time, and it is very much a prestigious mission for the Russian team.
The team had a home defeat against Porto, losing the opportunity to get in front of this round. Although the Russian side made a great start in the league this season, they looked a little weak against Porto in the first leg of this tie. Now they go to the Dragon facing one of the most experienced teams in the competition.
It is hard to have much hope in Krasnodar to pass. They have lost three of their last four Europa League trips, leaving them as the ranking outsiders for this match.
However, FC Porto failed their first round in the championship, which may give the Russian team some hope, but it also demonstrates Porto’s focus on Champions.
The hosts have scored 20 goals in their last eight home matches in this competition. They have scored two or more goals in three of the previous four, with one being beaten by Liverpool in the last 16 of last season. They have scored 15 goals in qualifying clashes in the Champions League since the beginning of the decade, so I believe they should score at least 2 goals in this match.
Since they should win the game, my bet will be on the possibility of winning by more than one goal, 1 -1AH.