Belenenses SAD vs Benfica for the Portuguese Primeira Liga championship match on Saturday at National Stadium.
Belenenses scored a point after the first round of the new season, but they may have been a bit lucky to escape Portimonense with a goalless draw in the end.
Benfica followed the 5-0 defeat of Sporting CP in the Super Cup with another 5-0 win over newly-promoted Paços de Ferreira in the Primeira Liga last weekend.
Belenenses have done well against Benfica in the last two seasons, winning once and drawing two more against the Portuguese giants, but all statistics point to a comfortable victory for Benfica this weekend.
Benfica has won three of their last six games against Belenenses, and four of their last six matches have ended with no goals suffered, including all three of Benfica’s wins.
The form of both teams certainly favours an away win on Saturday, as Belenenses have lost two of their last three games and Benfica have won all their previous six league, cup and friendly matches.
Benfica beat Academica, Guadalajara, Fiorentina, AC Milan, Sporting CP and Paços de Ferreira over the past month, conceding just one goal and scoring twenty-four in the process.
Belenenses looked decent in the pre-season match against Alverca, lost 1-0 and have not scored in each of the last three games since, and face a Benfica defensive who kept five clean sheets in their previous match.
I am confident that Benfica will win with no goals conceded on Saturday and predict a 2-0 final result. The visitors have not beaten Belenenses in their last three attempts, but they go into Saturday’s game fantastic and with an incredible defensive record in the previous six weeks.
Belenenses have been struggling for goals lately, failing to score in the last three games and now face one of the most robust defences of the championship.
My bet is 2 -1.25AH.