Atlético Mineiro and Fluminense will meet each other on October 28th, 2023, Saturday, in a match counting for the Serie A in Brazil, check the Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense betting tip 2023 to win with your bets.
Stadium and City where Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense will occur
The game takes place in the mythical Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto stadium, in the city of Belo Horizonte, with a capacity for 58170 spectators, that will try to help the team achieve a positive result.
Where to follow the live game
You can follow the match live with access to all the information to help with your sports betting at Betarena, including statistics, events and odds.
Introduction to the Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense betting tip 2023
In the current edition of the Serie A, we can see a growth in the average goals. While last season the tournament had an average of 2.38 goals per match, now the competition has an average of 2.52 goals per match.
Atlético Mineiro last match
Atlético Mineiro comes from a victory in the last match. The game against Bragantino, valid for the Serie A, ended with a 1-2. The team coached by L. Scolari lined up in the last match with a 4-4-2 formation.
The underdog’s win had odds of 4.20, which shows why we have witnessed an incredible surprise with this unexpected victory.
If the team managed to leave the field with a victory, much is due to Paulinho. He was the team’s highlight amid a lackluster performance and was instrumental in the victory for Atlético Mineiro.
Fluminense last match
On the other hand, the visiting team arrives at this match after a victory in the last round. In a dispute valid for Serie A, Fluminense, who used a 4-2-3-1 formation, faced the Goiás team with a final score of 5-3.
The odds of 1.60 before the match made clear the favoritism of the team before the match, a condition that was ratified with the final positive result.
Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense h2h
When these teams last met at Serie A, Fluminense was 6th place while Atlético Mineiro was in 4th place. Fluminense deployed in a 4-2-3-1 formation while Atlético Mineiro set up a 4-3-3 alignment.
The last time these teams played against each other during the 2023 season in a Serie A themed match was a hard-fought battle as it ended in a 1-1 draw.
Last time a draw between these teams, what to expect now?
The Atlético Mineiro team’s run of five games has been of preferable outcome, compared to the Fluminense team.
Atlético Mineiro
Serie A leaderboard now
The Atlético Mineiro team with 46 points currently occupies the 7th place of the leaderboard, being in the qualifying place for the Copa Sul-Americana, with a campaign of 13 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses.
In the 30th round, the team enjoys an advantage of 1 point over the 8th place ranked Fluminense team. The team also has 1 point less than Grêmio team that is placed in the 6th place.
Atlético Mineiro has been playing in a topsy-turvy manner lately, with alternating results of wins and losses. They will need to find a way to string together consistent performances if they want to challenge for the top spots in the league.
Atlético Mineiro analysis
Atlético Mineiro at the end of round 29 in Serie A had 34 goals scored and 23 conceded.
Everyone knows that Luiz Elena Felipe Scolari has a demanding style in the technical area. This rigorous coaching approach may serve as a differential advantage for Atlético Mineiro in the upcoming encounter, together with the home factor, which is also generally an essential aspect of the team’s games.
Best goalscorer from Atlético Mineiro
If we want to highlight a player from the team’s attack at this stage, we have to name Paulinho. The Attacker scored 11 goals in the current season, helping Atlético Mineiro to achieve victory in several disputes.
Fluminense
Serie A leaderboard now
The Fluminense team with 45 points currently occupies the 8th place of the leaderboard, being in the qualifying place for the Copa Sul-Americana, with a campaign of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses.
In the 30th round, the team has a small disadvantage of 1 point against Atlético Mineiro who occupies position 7.
Fluminense analysis
After 29 rounds, Fluminense has a positive ratio of goals scored and goals against. The team sums 42 goals for and 38 conceded.
Fluminense may be a visitor, but they are confident that they can still make life difficult for their opponent. The reason behind this is the presence of Fernando Silva as their coach, a highly strategic and successful coach who has caused upsets in the past.
Ball possession above 50% usually enables teams to gain some control over their opponents. This is why the Fluminense team typically tries to achieve an average ball possession of 61.66% to control the game.
Fluminense is a more offensive team than Atlético Mineiro, having 3355 attacks vs. 3008 from Atlético Mineiro, having scored 42 times, in comparison, Atlético Mineiro converted into goal 34 times.
Best goalscorer from Fluminense
When we analyze the team’s attack so far, the competition’s performance at the individual level Germán Cano is the player to highlight. Helping Fluminense with 7 goals scored this season, the Attacker has been instrumental in achieving positive outcomes.
Historical data: Fluminense
With 4 titles won in the history of the tournament, one of the leading names in the competition is the Fluminense team. The record of the team will impact the final outcome of the game and it will not be the first time the team has managed to impress their rivals with a win at a time when they are in poor form.
Bet suggestions for this game:
Goals Top Betting Tips
It can also be interesting to bet on who will score in this match. The featured player of Atlético Mineiro is Paulinho, who has already scored 11 goals in the competition. On the other hand, the leading scorer of Fluminense is Germán Cano, he has scored in 7 opportunities.
Between 75-90 minutes is a good time to bet as some study have shown this to be the time where most goals occur.
Taking into consideration that Fluminense scores an average of 1.08 goals per match when playing away, we should consider the under 2.5 betting market, especially because this team usually does not concede goals when playing out of their stadium.
Currently, at Bet365, the odds for the Total Goals Under 2.5 market are quoted at 1.73.
In this game, our system found another interesting opportunity for a successful bet. Both teams score and usually suffer the first goal between the 30-40 minute. With this convergence, it is typically a value market!
Corners Top Betting Tips
By combining the number of corners of both teams, we can see an average of 5.62 corners per game, also a market to explore to obtain good results in sports betting.
Fluminense is usually quite offensive in their matches, and this has resulted in a high average of corner kicks in the competition. Currently, the team averages 6.07 corners per game played. Therefore, it might be interesting to bet on the over corner kicks of Fluminense in this match.
Cards Top Betting Tips
These teams together have a combined average of 6.55 yellow cards per match. Therefore, it might be a good option to bet on the ‘Over 4.5 cards’ option in this duel.
On the Fluminense side, we know that it is a more aggressive team having received the red card 7 time this season, very different from Atlético Mineiro who only saw the red card 4 times. Both the red and yellow cards market can be a good bet.
This is a match with several good betting entries to have some return on sports betting.
Check other great betting tips here.
Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense betting tip 2023: FAQ
The match will be played on October 28th, 2023, Saturday.
The match will take place at the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto stadium in Belo Horizonte.
The last time these teams faced each other was in Serie A match, referring to the 2023 season, and ended with a 1-1 draw.
For this match, the probability indicates that the net is more likely to swing between 75-90 minutes.
The bookmaker with the best odds for this match is Bet365.
When analyzing football matches, it’s important to consider a variety of factors such as team form, injuries and suspensions, head-to-head records, home and away form, and tactical matchups. You can find all this information and more on Betarena. You should also take into account any external factors such as weather conditions, the importance of the match, and team motivation.
Yes, statistics can be a useful tool when analyzing football matches for betting purposes. At Betarena, we provide access to a wealth of statistical information such as team and player form, goals scored and conceded, possession percentage, shots on target, and corner kicks. However, it’s important to not rely solely on statistics and to also consider the subjective factors mentioned earlier.
